Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.067151 0.079606 0.093573 0.110375 0.130018 0.152233 0.179243
2025-04-06 0.046678 0.062264 0.081743 0.107780 0.141575 0.183847 0.240619
2025-04-13 0.034487 0.050519 0.072341 0.104017 0.148595 0.208829 0.296076
2025-04-20 0.028197 0.044641 0.068656 0.105950 0.162000 0.242595 0.366618
2025-04-27 0.023438 0.039728 0.065032 0.106705 0.172993 0.273536 0.436462
2025-05-04 0.019804 0.035708 0.061822 0.107152 0.182998 0.303606 0.508157
2025-05-11 0.017170 0.032762 0.059694 0.108731 0.194613 0.337107 0.588831
2025-05-18 0.015398 0.030949 0.059088 0.112604 0.210298 0.378733 0.687408
2025-05-25 0.012926 0.027359 0.054701 0.108983 0.212189 0.396921 0.747769
2025-06-01 0.011323 0.025144 0.052467 0.108902 0.220286 0.426616 0.831458
2025-06-08 0.009831 0.022874 0.049741 0.107396 0.225341 0.451110 0.908064
2025-06-15 0.008974 0.021798 0.049231 0.110196 0.239057 0.493182 1.022210
2025-06-22 0.007877 0.020013 0.047018 0.109251 0.245323 0.522047 1.115037
2025-06-29 0.006806 0.018088 0.044202 0.106599 0.247685 0.543458 1.195604
2025-07-06 0.005824 0.016185 0.041120 0.102858 0.247128 0.558694 1.265039
2025-07-13 0.005323 0.015403 0.040529 0.104767 0.259380 0.602270 1.399152
2025-07-20 0.004817 0.014509 0.039520 0.105513 0.269017 0.641165 1.527221
2025-07-27 0.004357 0.013649 0.038457 0.105956 0.277963 0.679440 1.657943
2025-08-03 0.004001 0.013014 0.037871 0.107517 0.289814 0.725586 1.811450
2025-08-10 0.003773 0.012715 0.038137 0.111349 0.307820 0.788009 2.009378
2025-08-17 0.003291 0.011536 0.035784 0.107767 0.306339 0.803667 2.097504
2025-08-24 0.002987 0.010861 0.034751 0.107687 0.314045 0.842578 2.246271
2025-08-31 0.002673 0.010087 0.033302 0.106197 0.317743 0.871836 2.374044